Columbia
W-L: (24- 8) PR = 95.7876Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1107 A Butler BE (13-19, 94.2) 74-69 1109 A Ohio MA (17-15, 94.0) 92-74 1115 H Richmond A10 (27- 8, 95.9) 67-77 1120 H St Joseph's A10 (17-12, 94.8) 48-66 1124 A Binghamton AE (17-13, 93.8) 73-60 1127 H Kansas St B12 (18-18, 95.8) 92-95 1128 A So Dakota St SM (25- 7, 96.2) 80-67 1129 H No Carolina ACC (28- 8, 97.4) 63-80 1203 A Manhattan MAAC (12-20, 92.2) 84-38 1206 A Wagner NE W ( 9-12, 91.8) 82-42 1209 A Seton Hall BE (20-13, 95.4) 54-53 1220 A Texas-SA AME (16-17, 94.6) 70-65 1229 A Fl Gulf Co AS (14-16, 93.8) 63-44 103 H Cornell IVY ( 7-18, 92.6) 60-67 110 A Harvard IVY (20-12, 95.2) 58-55 117 A Yale IVY ( 7-20, 92.5) 85-58 119 A Brown IVY (14-11, 94.1) 68-52 124 A Dartmouth IVY ( 7-17, 92.5) 89-32 130 A Princeton IVY (26- 4, 96.7) 73-67 131 H Pennsylvania IVY (16-10, 94.5) 55-64 207 A Cornell IVY ( 7-18, 92.6) 80-55 213 A Princeton IVY (26- 4, 96.7) 70-56 214 A Pennsylvania IVY (16-10, 94.5) 69-56 221 A Dartmouth IVY ( 7-17, 92.5) 81-42 227 A Yale IVY ( 7-20, 92.5) 68-47 228 A Brown IVY (14-11, 94.1) 59-56 307 H Harvard IVY (20-12, 95.2) 64-68 313 H Harvard IVY (20-12, 95.2) 65-67 319 A St. John's BE (21-12, 95.3) 74-26 322 A No Dakota St SM (25- 5, 95.6) 86-57 326 A California ACC (22-14, 95.9) 74-68 401 A BYU B12 (24-12, 96.1) 81-64
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1107 A Butler 74-69 5 2 0.46
1109 A Ohio 92-74 18 2 0.21
1115 H Richmond 67-77 -10 0 -1.87
1120 H St Joseph's 48-66 -18 1 - -2.97
1124 A Binghamton 73-60 13 2 0.01
1127 H Kansas St 92-95 -3 0 - -2.02
1128 A So Dakota St 80-67 13 0 + 2.43
1129 H No Carolina 63-80 -17 -2 -0.38
1203 A Manhattan 84-38 46 4 0.00
1206 A Wagner 82-42 40 4 0.00
1209 A Seton Hall 54-53 1 0 0.67
1220 A Texas-SA 70-65 5 1 0.78
1229 A Fl Gulf Co 63-44 19 2 0.02
103 H Cornell 60-67 -7 3 -- -4.00
110 A Harvard 58-55 3 1 1.39
117 A Yale 85-58 27 3 0.00
119 A Brown 68-52 16 2 0.36
124 A Dartmouth 89-32 57 3 0.00
130 A Princeton 73-67 6 -1 + 2.88
131 H Pennsylvania 55-64 -9 1 - -3.28
207 A Cornell 80-55 25 3 0.00
213 A Princeton 70-56 14 -1 + 2.88
214 A Pennsylvania 69-56 13 1 0.74
221 A Dartmouth 81-42 39 3 0.00
227 A Yale 68-47 21 3 0.00
228 A Brown 59-56 3 2 0.36
307 H Harvard 64-68 -4 1 - -2.63
313 H Harvard 65-67 -2 1 - -2.63
319 A St. John's 74-26 48 1 1.50
322 A No Dakota St 86-57 29 0 1.84
326 A California 74-68 6 0 + 2.13
401 A BYU 81-64 17 0 + 2.33
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 103 H Cornell 60-67 -7 3 -- -4.00 1120 H St Joseph's 48-66 -18 1 - -2.97 1127 H Kansas St 92-95 -3 0 - -2.02 131 H Pennsylvania 55-64 -9 1 - -3.28 307 H Harvard 64-68 -4 1 - -2.63 313 H Harvard 65-67 -2 1 - -2.63 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1128 A So Dakota St 80-67 13 0 + 2.43 130 A Princeton 73-67 6 -1 + 2.88 213 A Princeton 70-56 14 -1 + 2.88 326 A California 74-68 6 0 + 2.13 401 A BYU 81-64 17 0 + 2.33 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Butler (13-19, 94.2) 74-69 -5.66 5.30 0.01 0.95 10.07
3 A Ohio (17-15, 94.0) 92-74 -5.91 5.05 0.01 0.95 9.60
3 H Richmond (27- 8, 95.9) 67-77 -3.97 6.99 -0.01 0.95 -1.89
3 H St Joseph's (17-12, 94.8) 48-66 -5.07 5.89 -0.01 0.95 -2.41
3 A Binghamton (17-13, 93.8) 73-60 -6.12 4.84 0.01 0.95 9.21
3 H Kansas St (18-18, 95.8) 92-95 -4.13 6.84 -0.01 0.95 -1.96
3 A So Dakota St (25- 7, 96.2) 80-67 -3.69 7.27 0.01 0.95 13.80
3 H No Carolina (28- 8, 97.4) 63-80 -2.48 8.48 -0.01 0.95 -1.18
3 A Manhattan (12-20, 92.2) 84-38 -7.70 3.26 0.01 0.95 6.20
3 A Wagner ( 9-12, 91.8) 82-42 -8.08 2.88 0.01 0.95 5.48
3 A Seton Hall (20-13, 95.4) 54-53 -4.46 6.51 0.01 0.95 12.36
3 A Texas-SA (16-17, 94.6) 70-65 -5.34 5.62 0.01 0.95 10.68
3 A Fl Gulf Co (14-16, 93.8) 63-44 -6.10 4.86 0.01 0.95 9.24
3 H Cornell ( 7-18, 92.6) 60-67 -7.34 3.62 -0.01 0.95 -3.49
3 A Harvard (20-12, 95.2) 58-55 -4.73 6.23 0.01 0.95 11.83
3 A Yale ( 7-20, 92.5) 85-58 -7.41 3.55 0.01 0.95 6.75
3 A Brown (14-11, 94.1) 68-52 -5.76 5.20 0.01 0.95 9.89
3 A Dartmouth ( 7-17, 92.5) 89-32 -7.39 3.57 0.01 0.95 6.79
3 A Princeton (26- 4, 96.7) 73-67 -3.24 7.72 0.01 0.95 14.65
3 H Pennsylvania (16-10, 94.5) 55-64 -5.38 5.58 -0.01 0.95 -2.56
3 A Cornell ( 7-18, 92.6) 80-55 -7.34 3.62 0.01 0.95 6.89
3 A Princeton (26- 4, 96.7) 70-56 -3.24 7.72 0.01 0.95 14.65
3 A Pennsylvania (16-10, 94.5) 69-56 -5.38 5.58 0.01 0.95 10.60
3 A Dartmouth ( 7-17, 92.5) 81-42 -7.39 3.57 0.01 0.95 6.79
3 A Yale ( 7-20, 92.5) 68-47 -7.41 3.55 0.01 0.95 6.75
3 A Brown (14-11, 94.1) 59-56 -5.76 5.20 0.01 0.95 9.89
3 H Harvard (20-12, 95.2) 64-68 -4.73 6.23 -0.01 0.95 -2.25
3 H Harvard (20-12, 95.2) 65-67 -4.73 6.23 -0.01 0.95 -2.25
3 A St. John's (21-12, 95.3) 74-26 -4.63 6.33 0.01 0.95 12.03
3 A No Dakota St (25- 5, 95.6) 86-57 -4.28 6.68 0.01 0.95 12.68
3 A California (22-14, 95.9) 74-68 -3.99 6.97 0.01 0.95 13.24
3 A BYU (24-12, 96.1) 81-64 -3.79 7.17 0.01 0.95 13.62
------
225.73
|
winning pts = 243.7028 losing points = -17.9775
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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